Valuation vs Own History COMMODITY
— slow-moving; 60d lag; EV/EBITDA canonical
Research notes (read before interpreting):- The news-vs-expectations thesis is UNTESTED by the backtest (look-ahead-impossible). Only Agent 6 live forward-tracking can validate whether news_adj improves outcomes. Treat news as a bounded refinement on trial, not a proven driver.
- Fundamentals are annual with a 60-day reporting lag; EV/EBITDA is the valuation metric (P/E broke on 45 loss-year rows). Valuation reads are slow-moving, not point-in-time precise.
Percentile within this ticker's own 6-year fundamental history. High = expensive vs itself.
| FY | EV/EBITDA | P/E | P/S | Revenue | EPS |
| 2025 |
20.59x |
41.48x |
8.69x |
$6.1B |
$3.73 |
| 2024 |
24.92x |
101.91x |
10.32x |
$5.6B |
$1.74 |
| 2023 |
18.21x |
44.27x |
7.34x |
$5.5B |
$3.04 |
| 2022 |
20.37x |
84.97x |
6.12x |
$4.7B |
$1.18 |
| 2021 |
17.99x |
29.73x |
11.28x |
$4.4B |
$5.95 |
Earnings Surprise Track Record COMMODITY
Canonical signal: avoid-misses is the durable edge (misses lag the basket ~4%/21d excess); beats merely match the sector once drift is stripped. Regime-dependent, effectively small-sample — not proven.
| Date | EPS act | EPS est | EPS surp% |
Rev surp% | Excess/21d |
| 2026-04-23 |
$0.46 |
$0.44 |
+4.2% |
+2.1% |
-18.4% |
| 2026-02-05 |
$0.24 |
$0.29 |
-16.5% |
+3.7% |
+3.8% |
| 2025-10-23 |
$1.89 |
$1.78 |
+6.2% |
+0.1% |
-3.9% |
| 2025-07-24 |
$1.87 |
$1.74 |
+7.5% |
-2.6% |
-7.6% |
| 2025-04-24 |
$0.27 |
$1.73 |
-84.4% |
-1.2% |
-19.6% |
| 2025-02-13 |
$0.51 |
$0.27 |
+88.9% |
-1.5% |
+6.9% |
| 2024-10-24 |
$1.67 |
$1.67 |
+0.0% |
-2.4% |
+0.9% |
| 2024-07-25 |
$1.65 |
$1.63 |
+1.2% |
-1.9% |
+3.1% |
| 2024-05-02 |
$1.67 |
$1.63 |
+2.5% |
-2.3% |
-7.2% |
| 2024-02-15 |
$1.63 |
$1.64 |
-0.6% |
-1.8% |
-7.3% |
| 2023-10-26 |
$1.62 |
$1.62 |
+0.0% |
+0.4% |
-3.4% |
| 2023-07-27 |
$1.68 |
$1.65 |
+1.8% |
-0.4% |
+5.8% |
| 2023-04-27 |
$1.66 |
$1.65 |
+0.6% |
-3.3% |
-17.2% |
| 2023-02-16 |
$1.65 |
$1.68 |
-1.8% |
+1.8% |
-11.7% |
| 2022-10-26 |
$1.67 |
$1.67 |
+0.0% |
+0.3% |
-1.2% |
| 2022-07-28 |
$1.55 |
$1.64 |
-5.5% |
-1.2% |
-2.5% |
| 2022-04-28 |
$1.67 |
$1.67 |
+0.0% |
+0.2% |
-7.3% |
| 2022-02-17 |
$1.67 |
$1.68 |
-0.6% |
+0.4% |
+1.7% |
| 2021-10-26 |
$1.65 |
$1.62 |
+1.9% |
+3.2% |
-3.0% |
| 2021-07-29 |
$1.54 |
$1.58 |
-2.5% |
-0.0% |
+3.6% |
Consensus EPS Revision Trajectory COMMODITY
Forward-year consensus EPS over time — shows how estimates move after each print. Data accrues forward from snapshot start date.
News Lean UNPROVEN LIVE
— UNPROVEN LIVE-ONLY: no historical validation possible
▲ bullish
long
2026-08-07
Stock fell despite raised guidance; market focused on leverage concerns while missing the pricing power story: smaller AI-workload leases commanding higher $/kW, a structural margin tailwind not fully reflected in consensus models
source ↗
▲ bullish
near
2026-08-04
FFO beat by 34% and revenue by 14%—far exceeded the already-elevated DC demand narrative priced in; guidance hike signals capacity constraints easing into higher-priced commitments
source ↗
▲ bullish
long
2026-07-29
Massive beat across all metrics; Street models underestimated AI data-center demand; +14% stock confirms expectations were too low — data center REITs had been penalized vs hyperscalers
source ↗
▲ bullish
near
2026-07-23
Low bar (+5.9% EPS, +11.5% revenue) relative to hyperscaler capex acceleration makes a beat likely; AI data center demand is pulling forward leasing — consensus may be underestimating velocity of new signings.
source ↗
▲ bullish
long
2026-07-15
The $7.8B Northern Virginia acquisition at 6.5% initial cap rate signals confidence in long-term AI data center demand; deal is accretive and positions DLR ahead of Q2 earnings on July 23 -- analyst consensus (73% Buy) may be underweighting the scale of the asset base expansion.
source ↗
Analyst Context — the consensus we're trying to beat
Consensus PT
$222.35
+24.5% from current
Price targets from FMP consensus. Not a recommendation.