Valuation vs Own History COMMODITY— slow-moving; 60d lag; EV/EBITDA canonical
Research notes (read before interpreting):
The news-vs-expectations thesis is UNTESTED by the backtest (look-ahead-impossible). Only Agent 6 live forward-tracking can validate whether news_adj improves outcomes. Treat news as a bounded refinement on trial, not a proven driver.
Fundamentals are annual with a 60-day reporting lag; EV/EBITDA is the valuation metric (P/E broke on 45 loss-year rows). Valuation reads are slow-moving, not point-in-time precise.
Percentile within this ticker's own 6-year fundamental history. High = expensive vs itself.
EV/EBITDA20.6x
38%ile
P/E41.5x
11%ile
P/S8.7x
50%ile
FY
EV/EBITDA
P/E
P/S
Revenue
EPS
2025
20.59x
41.48x
8.69x
$6.1B
$3.73
2024
24.92x
101.91x
10.32x
$5.6B
$1.74
2023
18.21x
44.27x
7.34x
$5.5B
$3.04
2022
20.37x
84.97x
6.12x
$4.7B
$1.18
2021
17.99x
29.73x
11.28x
$4.4B
$5.95
Earnings Surprise Track Record COMMODITY
Canonical signal: avoid-misses is the durable edge (misses lag the basket ~4%/21d excess); beats merely match the sector once drift is stripped. Regime-dependent, effectively small-sample — not proven.
Date
EPS act
EPS est
EPS surp%
Rev surp%
Excess/21d
2026-04-23
$0.46
$0.44
+4.2%
+2.1%
-18.4%
2026-02-05
$0.24
$0.29
-16.5%
+3.7%
+3.8%
2025-10-23
$1.89
$1.78
+6.2%
+0.1%
-3.9%
2025-07-24
$1.87
$1.74
+7.5%
-2.6%
-7.6%
2025-04-24
$0.27
$1.73
-84.4%
-1.2%
-19.6%
2025-02-13
$0.51
$0.27
+88.9%
-1.5%
+6.9%
2024-10-24
$1.67
$1.67
+0.0%
-2.4%
+0.9%
2024-07-25
$1.65
$1.63
+1.2%
-1.9%
+3.1%
2024-05-02
$1.67
$1.63
+2.5%
-2.3%
-7.2%
2024-02-15
$1.63
$1.64
-0.6%
-1.8%
-7.3%
2023-10-26
$1.62
$1.62
+0.0%
+0.4%
-3.4%
2023-07-27
$1.68
$1.65
+1.8%
-0.4%
+5.8%
2023-04-27
$1.66
$1.65
+0.6%
-3.3%
-17.2%
2023-02-16
$1.65
$1.68
-1.8%
+1.8%
-11.7%
2022-10-26
$1.67
$1.67
+0.0%
+0.3%
-1.2%
2022-07-28
$1.55
$1.64
-5.5%
-1.2%
-2.5%
2022-04-28
$1.67
$1.67
+0.0%
+0.2%
-7.3%
2022-02-17
$1.67
$1.68
-0.6%
+0.4%
+1.7%
2021-10-26
$1.65
$1.62
+1.9%
+3.2%
-3.0%
2021-07-29
$1.54
$1.58
-2.5%
-0.0%
+3.6%
Post-Earnings Revisions COMMODITY— how consensus moved after each print
Print
EPS rev%
Rev rev%
PT rev%
Dir
Guidance
2026-07-23
—
—
—
—
raised
Consensus EPS Revision Trajectory COMMODITY
Forward-year consensus EPS over time — shows how estimates move after each print. Data accrues forward from snapshot start date.
Model Portfolio Status
Not in model portfolio.
News Lean UNPROVEN LIVE— UNPROVEN LIVE-ONLY: no historical validation possible
▲ bullishnear2026-07-23
Low bar (+5.9% EPS, +11.5% revenue) relative to hyperscaler capex acceleration makes a beat likely; AI data center demand is pulling forward leasing — consensus may be underestimating velocity of new signings.
The $7.8B Northern Virginia acquisition at 6.5% initial cap rate signals confidence in long-term AI data center demand; deal is accretive and positions DLR ahead of Q2 earnings on July 23 -- analyst consensus (73% Buy) may be underweighting the scale of the asset base expansion.
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