Earnings
Pre-earnings positioning + post-earnings revision tracking. Not investment advice.
Pre-Earnings Radar COMMODITY
Post-Earnings Revisions COMMODITY
Next 14 days · Last refreshed 2026-06-03 · Refresh now
Risk-framing only — not a prediction.
The "avoid-misses" signal is regime-stable but commodity (any screener can compute beat size).
High beat rate + strong positioning does NOT predict a beat — it means a miss would hurt more given the current setup.
Avg excess/21d ≈ −1–2% baseline drag (AI-infra names often give back gains post-earnings even on beats).
All signals advisory; not investment advice.
Show past earnings (9)
AVGO
bullish UNPROVEN LIVE
Reports 2026-06-03 (55 days ago)
Consensus bar
EPS $2.40
Rev $22.1B
Track record (last 5 prints)
100% beat rate
avg excess/21d: -5.1% COMMODITY
Date EPS surp Excess/21d
2026-03-04
+1.0%
-7.9%
2025-12-11
+4.3%
-11.5%
2025-09-04
+1.8%
-21.4%
2025-06-05
+0.6%
+2.1%
Positioning
⚠ Priced for perfection
52w position: 97% ← near high
EV/EBITDA: 100%ile of own history
Price: $380.91 · RVOL 0.78
Reports 2026-06-04 (54 days ago)
Consensus bar
EPS $1.46
Rev $1.5B
Track record (last 5 prints)
75% beat rate
avg excess/21d: +6.0% COMMODITY
Date EPS surp Excess/21d
2026-03-05
+15.4%
+45.1%
2025-12-11
+16.7%
+3.2%
2025-09-04
+26.4%
+9.8%
2025-06-05
-18.9%
-1.4%
Positioning
⚠ Priced for perfection
52w position: 97% ← near high
EV/EBITDA: 92%ile of own history
Price: $350.51 · RVOL 1.55
ORCL
bullish UNPROVEN LIVE
Reports 2026-06-10 (48 days ago)
Consensus bar
EPS $1.96
Rev $19.1B
Track record (last 5 prints)
50% beat rate
avg excess/21d: -8.2% COMMODITY
Date EPS surp Excess/21d
2026-03-10
+5.3%
-26.5%
2025-12-10
+37.8%
+0.5%
2025-09-09
-0.7%
-24.6%
2025-06-11
+3.7%
+8.3%
Positioning
⚠ Priced for perfection
52w position: 34%
EV/EBITDA: 92%ile of own history
Price: $119.99 · RVOL 0.82
Reports 2026-06-24 (34 days ago)
Consensus bar
EPS $20.98
Rev $35.9B
Track record (last 5 prints)
100% beat rate
avg excess/21d: +0.9% COMMODITY
Date EPS surp Excess/21d
2026-03-18
+32.8%
-18.0%
2025-12-17
+20.7%
+43.9%
2025-09-23
+5.9%
+22.0%
2025-06-25
+19.4%
-18.8%
Positioning
⚠ Priced for perfection
52w position: 85% ← near high
EV/EBITDA: 58%ile of own history
Price: $820.53 · RVOL 1.12
TSM
bullish UNPROVEN LIVE
Reports 2026-07-16 (12 days ago)
Consensus bar
EPS $3.82
Rev $39.8B
Track record (last 5 prints)
88% beat rate
avg excess/21d: -2.0% COMMODITY
Date EPS surp Excess/21d
2026-04-15
+5.4%
-2.9%
2026-01-15
+6.6%
+1.9%
2025-11-14
+8.4%
+0.4%
2025-08-14
+9.7%
-1.6%
Positioning
⚠ Priced for perfection
52w position: 77%
EV/EBITDA: 92%ile of own history
Price: $392.31 · RVOL 1.29
GEV
bullish UNPROVEN LIVE
Reports 2026-07-22 (6 days ago)
Consensus bar
EPS $3.17
Rev $10.8B
Track record (last 5 prints)
63% beat rate
avg excess/21d: +0.9% COMMODITY
Date EPS surp Excess/21d
2026-04-22
+1.5%
-24.9%
2026-01-28
+357.0%
+21.1%
2025-10-22
-4.7%
+2.8%
2025-07-23
+25.7%
-3.6%
Positioning
⚠ Priced for perfection
52w position: 82%
EV/EBITDA: 90%ile of own history
Price: $943.38 · RVOL 1.35
GOOGL
neutral UNPROVEN LIVE
Reports 2026-07-22 (6 days ago)
Consensus bar
EPS $2.87
Rev $116.5B
Track record (last 5 prints)
100% beat rate
avg excess/21d: -4.7% COMMODITY
Date EPS surp Excess/21d
2026-04-29
+93.6%
-21.2%
2026-02-04
+9.7%
-15.5%
2025-10-29
+24.8%
+18.4%
2025-07-23
+7.4%
+6.3%
Positioning
⚠ Priced for perfection
52w position: 72%
EV/EBITDA: 92%ile of own history
Price: $333.71 · RVOL 0.82
Reports 2026-07-23 (5 days ago)
Consensus bar
EPS $0.21
Rev $14.4B
Track record (last 5 prints)
63% beat rate
avg excess/21d: +2.5% COMMODITY
Date EPS surp Excess/21d
2026-04-23
+1428.7%
+34.4%
2026-01-22
+84.4%
-4.4%
2025-10-23
+1191.4%
+0.9%
2025-07-24
-929.2%
+17.8%
Positioning
Neutral positioning
52w position: 68%
EV/EBITDA: 58%ile of own history
Price: $86.30 · RVOL 1.12
DLR
bullish UNPROVEN LIVE
Reports 2026-07-23 (5 days ago)
Consensus bar
EPS $0.47
Rev $1.7B
Track record (last 5 prints)
63% beat rate
avg excess/21d: -4.3% COMMODITY
Date EPS surp Excess/21d
2026-04-23
+4.2%
-18.4%
2026-02-05
-16.5%
+3.8%
2025-10-23
+6.2%
-3.9%
2025-07-24
+7.5%
-7.6%
Positioning
Neutral positioning
52w position: 52%
EV/EBITDA: 58%ile of own history
Price: $193.18 · RVOL 0.85
Reports 2026-07-28 (today)
Consensus bar
EPS $5.10
Rev $3.5B
Track record (last 5 prints)
100% beat rate
avg excess/21d: +3.2% COMMODITY
Date EPS surp Excess/21d
2026-04-28
+16.8%
+13.4%
2026-01-27
+11.9%
-9.0%
2025-10-28
+8.8%
+11.8%
2025-07-29
+5.7%
+15.3%
Positioning
Neutral positioning
52w position: 67%
EV/EBITDA: 58%ile of own history
Price: $747.30 · RVOL 1.72
Reports 2026-07-28 (today)
Consensus bar
EPS $2.09
Rev $1.2B
Track record (last 5 prints)
100% beat rate
avg excess/21d: +1.2% COMMODITY
Date EPS surp Excess/21d
2026-04-28
+21.3%
-1.2%
2026-02-02
+30.4%
+6.5%
2025-10-28
+7.6%
+12.2%
2025-07-29
+5.2%
+7.9%
Positioning
⚠ Priced for perfection
52w position: 62%
EV/EBITDA: 92%ile of own history
Price: $320.65 · RVOL 1.24
Reports 2026-07-28 (today)
Consensus bar
EPS $1.00
Rev $3.6B
Track record (last 5 prints)
100% beat rate
avg excess/21d: -2.8% COMMODITY
Date EPS surp Excess/21d
2026-04-29
+2.5%
-10.2%
2026-01-29
+0.7%
-0.1%
2025-10-29
+2.1%
+1.8%
2025-07-31
+9.6%
-4.9%
Positioning
Neutral positioning
52w position: 54%
EV/EBITDA: 75%ile of own history
Price: $190.80 · RVOL 1.30
EQIX
HELD
bullish UNPROVEN LIVE
Reports 2026-07-29 (tomorrow)
Consensus bar
EPS $4.73
Rev $2.6B
Track record (last 5 prints)
75% beat rate
avg excess/21d: -4.5% COMMODITY
Date EPS surp Excess/21d
2026-04-29
-1.9%
-21.4%
2026-02-11
-27.2%
+0.5%
2025-10-29
+6.2%
-5.4%
2025-07-30
+7.8%
+1.5%
Positioning
Neutral positioning
52w position: 77%
EV/EBITDA: 8%ile of own history
Price: $1034.86 · RVOL 1.03
Reports 2026-07-29 (tomorrow)
Consensus bar
EPS $2.04
Rev $1.2B
Track record (last 5 prints)
100% beat rate
avg excess/21d: +1.2% COMMODITY
Date EPS surp Excess/21d
2026-04-28
+21.3%
-1.2%
2026-02-02
+30.4%
+6.5%
2025-10-28
+7.6%
+12.2%
2025-07-29
+5.2%
+7.9%
Positioning
⚠ Priced for perfection
52w position: 63%
EV/EBITDA: 92%ile of own history
Price: $320.65 · RVOL 1.24
Reports 2026-07-29 (tomorrow)
Consensus bar
EPS $3.34
Rev $3.7B
Track record (last 5 prints)
100% beat rate
avg excess/21d: +2.9% COMMODITY
Date EPS surp Excess/21d
2026-04-30
+13.8%
+5.8%
2026-01-29
+10.4%
-0.9%
2025-10-30
+11.9%
+13.5%
2025-07-30
+12.2%
+3.5%
Positioning
Neutral positioning
52w position: 62%
EV/EBITDA: 58%ile of own history
Price: $463.51 · RVOL 1.16
Reports 2026-07-29 (tomorrow)
Consensus bar
EPS $0.82
Rev $835M
Track record (last 5 prints)
63% beat rate
avg excess/21d: -8.0% COMMODITY
Date EPS surp Excess/21d
2026-04-30
+15.4%
-25.4%
2026-02-10
+4.9%
-18.9%
2025-10-30
0.0%
-5.9%
2025-07-30
+2.3%
+8.1%
Positioning
Neutral positioning
52w position: 61%
EV/EBITDA: 8%ile of own history
Price: $118.16 · RVOL 1.53
VRT
neutral UNPROVEN LIVE
Reports 2026-07-29 (tomorrow)
Consensus bar
EPS $1.43
Rev $3.4B
Track record (last 5 prints)
100% beat rate
avg excess/21d: -0.2% COMMODITY
Date EPS surp Excess/21d
2026-04-22
+17.0%
-13.5%
2026-02-11
+5.4%
+9.7%
2025-10-22
+26.0%
-3.4%
2025-07-30
+14.2%
-11.0%
Positioning
Neutral positioning
52w position: 58%
EV/EBITDA: 58%ile of own history
Price: $269.56 · RVOL 1.37
Reports 2026-07-29 (tomorrow)
Consensus bar
EPS $1.69
Rev $6.7B
Track record (last 5 prints)
100% beat rate
avg excess/21d: -1.7% COMMODITY
Date EPS surp Excess/21d
2026-04-22
+8.1%
+2.9%
2026-01-28
+8.5%
-8.7%
2025-10-22
+3.3%
+6.0%
2025-07-30
+9.9%
+7.0%
Positioning
Neutral positioning
52w position: 51%
EV/EBITDA: 75%ile of own history
Price: $269.61 · RVOL 1.42
ARM
neutral UNPROVEN LIVE
Reports 2026-07-29 (tomorrow)
Consensus bar
EPS $0.40
Rev $1.3B
Track record (last 5 prints)
75% beat rate
avg excess/21d: -5.4% COMMODITY
Date EPS surp Excess/21d
2026-05-06
+3.4%
—
2026-02-04
+4.9%
-1.9%
2025-11-05
-54.4%
-11.7%
2025-07-30
+0.3%
-0.8%
Positioning
Neutral positioning
52w position: 41%
EV/EBITDA: 58%ile of own history
Price: $244.74 · RVOL 0.57
Reports 2026-07-29 (tomorrow)
Consensus bar
EPS $2.22
Rev $9.7B
Track record (last 5 prints)
100% beat rate
avg excess/21d: +1.8% COMMODITY
Date EPS surp Excess/21d
2026-04-29
+3.5%
+19.8%
2026-02-04
+3.2%
-6.7%
2025-11-05
+4.5%
+1.2%
2025-07-30
+2.2%
+10.9%
Positioning
↓ Low bar / defensive setup
52w position: 30%
EV/EBITDA: 42%ile of own history
Price: $162.88 · RVOL 0.68
META
neutral UNPROVEN LIVE
Reports 2026-07-29 (tomorrow)
Consensus bar
EPS $7.13
Rev $60.2B
Track record (last 5 prints)
100% beat rate
avg excess/21d: -4.1% COMMODITY
Date EPS surp Excess/21d
2026-04-29
+9.1%
-16.7%
2026-01-28
+8.4%
-13.2%
2025-10-29
+7.9%
+2.7%
2025-07-30
+21.4%
-3.1%
Positioning
↓ Low bar / defensive setup
52w position: 27%
EV/EBITDA: 42%ile of own history
Price: $593.41 · RVOL 0.59
MSFT
neutral UNPROVEN LIVE
Reports 2026-07-29 (tomorrow)
Consensus bar
EPS $4.21
Rev $87.6B
Track record (last 5 prints)
100% beat rate
avg excess/21d: -4.3% COMMODITY
Date EPS surp Excess/21d
2026-04-29
+5.2%
-9.6%
2026-01-28
+6.2%
-9.8%
2025-10-29
+12.5%
-0.9%
2025-07-30
+8.3%
-3.6%
Positioning
↓ Low bar / defensive setup
52w position: 21% ← near low
EV/EBITDA: 25%ile of own history
Price: $393.35 · RVOL 0.82
PWR
neutral UNPROVEN LIVE
Reports 2026-07-30 (in 2 days)
Consensus bar
EPS $3.31
Rev $8.6B
Track record (last 5 prints)
100% beat rate
avg excess/21d: -2.0% COMMODITY
Date EPS surp Excess/21d
2026-04-30
+31.4%
-28.2%
2026-02-19
+4.6%
+4.1%
2025-10-30
+2.5%
+8.2%
2025-07-31
+1.6%
-5.5%
Positioning
⚠ Priced for perfection
52w position: 53%
EV/EBITDA: 92%ile of own history
Price: $588.36 · RVOL 1.12
AMZN
neutral UNPROVEN LIVE
Reports 2026-07-30 (in 2 days)
Consensus bar
EPS $1.82
Rev $196.8B
Track record (last 5 prints)
88% beat rate
avg excess/21d: -2.7% COMMODITY
Date EPS surp Excess/21d
2026-04-29
+70.6%
-17.9%
2026-02-05
-1.0%
+0.4%
2025-10-30
+24.2%
+2.9%
2025-07-31
+28.2%
+4.6%
Positioning
Neutral positioning
52w position: 42%
EV/EBITDA: 8%ile of own history
Price: $230.86 · RVOL 0.87
ETN
bullish UNPROVEN LIVE
Reports 2026-07-31 (in 3 days)
Consensus bar
EPS $3.07
Rev $8.2B
Track record (last 5 prints)
100% beat rate
avg excess/21d: -5.3% COMMODITY
Date EPS surp Excess/21d
2026-05-05
+2.9%
—
2026-02-03
+0.6%
-7.0%
2025-11-04
+0.7%
-9.7%
2025-08-05
+0.7%
-5.2%
Positioning
Neutral positioning
52w position: 60%
EV/EBITDA: 75%ile of own history
Price: $386.26 · RVOL 1.15
AMD
HELD
bullish UNPROVEN LIVE
Reports 2026-08-04 (in 7 days)
Consensus bar
EPS $1.61
Rev $11.3B
Track record (last 5 prints)
88% beat rate
avg excess/21d: -5.7% COMMODITY
Date EPS surp Excess/21d
2026-05-05
+6.2%
—
2026-02-03
+15.9%
-6.1%
2025-11-04
+2.6%
-12.3%
2025-08-05
+0.3%
-10.0%
Positioning
Neutral positioning
52w position: 70%
EV/EBITDA: 58%ile of own history
Price: $454.62 · RVOL 1.06
ANET
bullish UNPROVEN LIVE
Reports 2026-08-04 (in 7 days)
Consensus bar
EPS $0.89
Rev $2.8B
Track record (last 5 prints)
100% beat rate
avg excess/21d: -2.5% COMMODITY
Date EPS surp Excess/21d
2026-05-05
+7.7%
—
2026-02-12
+8.2%
-7.1%
2025-11-04
+4.5%
-5.7%
2025-08-05
+12.5%
+0.3%
Positioning
Neutral positioning
52w position: 73%
EV/EBITDA: 58%ile of own history
Price: $169.71 · RVOL 0.88
Reports 2026-08-04 (in 7 days)
Consensus bar
EPS $0.82
Rev $836M
Track record (last 5 prints)
63% beat rate
avg excess/21d: -8.0% COMMODITY
Date EPS surp Excess/21d
2026-04-30
+15.4%
-25.4%
2026-02-10
+4.9%
-18.9%
2025-10-30
0.0%
-5.9%
2025-07-30
+2.3%
+8.1%
Positioning
Neutral positioning
52w position: 42%
EV/EBITDA: 8%ile of own history
Price: $118.16 · RVOL 1.53
ALAB
bullish UNPROVEN LIVE
Reports 2026-08-04 (in 7 days)
Consensus bar
EPS $0.69
Rev $361M
Track record (last 5 prints)
100% beat rate
avg excess/21d: -0.7% COMMODITY
Date EPS surp Excess/21d
2026-05-05
+13.6%
—
2026-02-10
+12.4%
-13.8%
2025-11-04
+25.7%
-8.7%
2025-08-05
+35.8%
+7.0%
Positioning
⚠ Priced for perfection
52w position: 40%
EV/EBITDA: 88%ile of own history
Price: $260.23 · RVOL 0.80
SMCI
bullish UNPROVEN LIVE
Reports 2026-08-04 (in 7 days)
Consensus bar
EPS $0.70
Rev $11.6B
Track record (last 5 prints)
38% beat rate
avg excess/21d: +0.7% COMMODITY
Date EPS surp Excess/21d
2026-05-05
+36.1%
—
2026-02-03
+40.8%
-9.5%
2025-11-04
-6.6%
-14.8%
2025-08-05
-7.9%
-16.3%
Positioning
↓ Low bar / defensive setup
52w position: 21% ← near low
EV/EBITDA: 75%ile of own history
Price: $28.45 · RVOL 0.67
Reports 2026-08-04 (in 7 days)
Consensus bar
EPS $1.77
Rev $7.5B
Track record (last 5 prints)
50% beat rate
avg excess/21d: -6.3% COMMODITY
Date EPS surp Excess/21d
2026-05-06
-16.4%
—
2026-02-24
+6.0%
-14.0%
2025-11-06
+28.5%
-3.7%
2025-08-06
-3.4%
-5.6%
Positioning
↓ Low bar / defensive setup
52w position: 11% ← near low
EV/EBITDA: 75%ile of own history
Price: $127.56 · RVOL 0.93
Reports 2026-08-05 (in 8 days)
Consensus bar
EPS $3.34
Rev $3.7B
Track record (last 5 prints)
100% beat rate
avg excess/21d: +2.9% COMMODITY
Date EPS surp Excess/21d
2026-04-30
+13.8%
+5.8%
2026-01-29
+10.4%
-0.9%
2025-10-30
+11.9%
+13.5%
2025-07-30
+12.2%
+3.5%
Positioning
Neutral positioning
52w position: 54%
EV/EBITDA: 58%ile of own history
Price: $463.51 · RVOL 1.16
Reports 2026-08-05 (in 8 days)
Consensus bar
EPS $34.67
Rev $8.4B
Track record (last 5 prints)
75% beat rate
Date EPS surp Excess/21d
2026-04-30
+60.1%
—
2026-01-29
+71.3%
—
2025-11-06
+38.2%
—
2025-08-14
+522.2%
—
Positioning
Neutral positioning
52w position: 46%
EV/EBITDA: 30%ile of own history
Price: $1096.10 · RVOL 1.92
SMR
bearish UNPROVEN LIVE
Reports 2026-08-05 (in 8 days)
Consensus bar
EPS $-0.13
Rev $9M
Track record (last 5 prints)
25% beat rate
avg excess/21d: -1.3% COMMODITY
Date EPS surp Excess/21d
2026-05-07
-27.3%
—
2026-02-26
-700.0%
-10.8%
2025-11-06
-1225.0%
-30.1%
2025-08-07
-8.3%
-13.7%
Positioning
↓ Low bar / defensive setup
52w position: 2% ← near low
EV/EBITDA: 58%ile of own history
Price: $8.21 · RVOL 0.81
NBIS
bullish UNPROVEN LIVE
Reports 2026-08-06 (in 9 days)
Consensus bar
EPS $-0.61
Rev $578M
Track record (last 5 prints)
38% beat rate
avg excess/21d: +13.2% COMMODITY
Date EPS surp Excess/21d
2026-05-13
+70.0%
—
2026-02-12
-70.7%
+17.6%
2025-11-11
+29.9%
-4.3%
2025-08-07
+24.0%
+35.7%
Positioning
⚠ Priced for perfection
52w position: 48%
EV/EBITDA: 92%ile of own history
Price: $169.69 · RVOL 1.55
CEG
bearish UNPROVEN LIVE
Reports 2026-08-06 (in 9 days)
Consensus bar
EPS $2.42
Rev $7.9B
Track record (last 5 prints)
63% beat rate
avg excess/21d: -7.3% COMMODITY
Date EPS surp Excess/21d
2026-05-11
+7.9%
—
2026-02-24
+0.9%
-3.0%
2025-11-07
-2.3%
+0.6%
2025-08-07
+3.8%
-13.9%
Positioning
⚠ Priced for perfection
52w position: 17% ← near low
EV/EBITDA: 92%ile of own history
Price: $259.82 · RVOL 0.77
VST
neutral UNPROVEN LIVE
Reports 2026-08-07 (in 10 days)
Consensus bar
EPS $1.92
Rev $5.5B
Track record (last 5 prints)
38% beat rate
avg excess/21d: -5.4% COMMODITY
Date EPS surp Excess/21d
2026-05-07
+117.4%
—
2026-02-26
-76.5%
-5.7%
2025-11-06
-15.9%
-14.1%
2025-08-06
-7.4%
-10.6%
Positioning
↓ Low bar / defensive setup
52w position: 18% ← near low
EV/EBITDA: 58%ile of own history
Price: $148.64 · RVOL 1.21
CRWV
bullish UNPROVEN LIVE
Reports 2026-08-11 (in 14 days)
Consensus bar
EPS $-1.17
Rev $2.6B
Track record (last 5 prints)
20% beat rate
avg excess/21d: +21.2% COMMODITY
Date EPS surp Excess/21d
2026-05-07
-20.7%
—
2026-02-26
-78.1%
-3.6%
2025-11-10
+79.7%
-3.7%
2025-08-12
-16.4%
-11.0%
Positioning
↓ Low bar / defensive setup
52w position: 4% ← near low
EV/EBITDA: 63%ile of own history
Price: $67.30 · RVOL 1.03
Revision deltas are descriptive, not predictive. They show how consensus moved after a print — not whether that movement predicts forward returns. That's a separate live test. Guidance direction (if classified) is judgment, badged UNPROVEN LIVE, and quarantined from the numeric deltas.
Symbol Reported EPS surp
EPS rev% Rev rev% PT rev%
Direction Guidance
DLR 2026-07-23
—
—
—
—
— raised UNPROVEN LIVE
INTC 2026-07-23
—
—
—
—
— raised UNPROVEN LIVE
GEV 2026-07-22
—
—
—
—
— raised UNPROVEN LIVE
GOOGL 2026-07-22
—
—
—
—
— raised UNPROVEN LIVE
TSM 2026-07-16
—
—
—
—
— raised UNPROVEN LIVE
ASML 2026-07-15
—
—
—
—
— raised UNPROVEN LIVE
AVGO 2026-06-03
—
—
—
—
— raised UNPROVEN LIVE
CRDO 2026-06-01
+12.6%
—
—
—
— maintained UNPROVEN LIVE
HPE 2026-06-01
+46.3%
—
—
—
— raised UNPROVEN LIVE
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