Valuation vs Own History COMMODITY— slow-moving; 60d lag; EV/EBITDA canonical
Research notes (read before interpreting):
The news-vs-expectations thesis is UNTESTED by the backtest (look-ahead-impossible). Only Agent 6 live forward-tracking can validate whether news_adj improves outcomes. Treat news as a bounded refinement on trial, not a proven driver.
Fundamentals are annual with a 60-day reporting lag; EV/EBITDA is the valuation metric (P/E broke on 45 loss-year rows). Valuation reads are slow-moving, not point-in-time precise.
Percentile within this ticker's own 6-year fundamental history. High = expensive vs itself.
EV/EBITDA23.6x
0%ile
P/E55.6x
0%ile
P/S8.1x
0%ile
FY
EV/EBITDA
P/E
P/S
Revenue
EPS
2025
23.57x
55.56x
8.10x
$9.3B
$13.79
2024
30.77x
110.41x
10.29x
$8.7B
$8.54
2023
26.92x
77.82x
9.21x
$8.2B
$10.35
2022
25.51x
85.18x
8.26x
$7.3B
$7.69
2021
34.36x
151.86x
11.44x
$6.6B
$5.57
Earnings Surprise Track Record COMMODITY
Canonical signal: avoid-misses is the durable edge (misses lag the basket ~4%/21d excess); beats merely match the sector once drift is stripped. Regime-dependent, effectively small-sample — not proven.
Date
EPS act
EPS est
EPS surp%
Rev surp%
Excess/21d
2026-04-29
$4.22
$4.30
-1.9%
-2.8%
-21.4%
2026-02-11
$2.70
$3.71
-27.2%
-1.6%
+0.5%
2025-10-29
$9.83
$9.26
+6.2%
-5.8%
-5.4%
2025-07-30
$9.91
$9.19
+7.8%
-0.1%
+1.5%
2025-04-30
$9.67
$8.96
+7.9%
-1.5%
-17.8%
2025-02-12
$7.92
$2.75
+188.0%
-0.6%
+7.2%
2024-10-30
$9.05
$8.70
+4.0%
-3.7%
-4.0%
2024-08-07
$9.22
$8.82
+4.5%
-0.0%
+3.4%
2024-05-08
$8.86
$8.58
+3.3%
-0.6%
-10.5%
2024-02-14
$7.30
$7.25
+0.7%
-0.2%
-14.8%
2023-10-25
$8.19
$7.79
+5.1%
+0.2%
-6.4%
2023-08-02
$8.04
$7.51
+7.1%
-0.0%
-0.7%
2023-05-03
$8.59
$7.92
+8.5%
+0.9%
-17.3%
2023-02-15
$7.09
$6.82
+4.0%
+0.3%
-2.5%
2022-11-02
$7.73
$7.19
+7.5%
+0.2%
+4.3%
2022-07-27
$7.58
$7.30
+3.8%
-0.0%
-4.2%
2022-04-27
$7.16
$7.19
-0.4%
-0.7%
-8.7%
2022-02-16
$6.22
$6.27
-0.8%
+0.6%
+5.4%
2021-11-03
$6.94
$6.69
+3.7%
-0.3%
-2.3%
2021-07-28
$7.01
$6.72
+4.3%
-1.3%
+2.9%
Post-Earnings Revisions COMMODITY— how consensus moved after each print
No computed revisions yet — snapshots need to bracket a print.
Consensus EPS Revision Trajectory COMMODITY
Forward-year consensus EPS over time — shows how estimates move after each print. Data accrues forward from snapshot start date.
Leadership reshuffle adds uncertainty; last surprise −1.86%; sector rate-sensitivity.
News Lean UNPROVEN LIVE— UNPROVEN LIVE-ONLY: no historical validation possible
▲ bullishlong2026-07-23
Cisco-NVDA AI Factory co-launch demonstrates Equinix moving up the value stack beyond raw colocation; analysts expect 13.5% AFFO growth — if AI bookings confirm the platform thesis, this is a structural beat catalyst.
Record leasing + largest-ever deal with AA-rated hyperscaler exceeds consensus expectations; Citi Focus List addition signals broader institutional confidence
Raised guidance and AI workload mix now 60% of largest deals — exceeds prior estimates for AI adoption pace; AFFO per share guide raised reinforces execution above expectations