Stock Demon Overview Strategy Portfolio Earnings Digest Health Architecture Private cockpit · Not investment advice
power ▲ HELD

Equinix EQIX

Price
$1,008.08
-2.6% today
Mkt Cap
$99.5B
Beta
0.97
52w Range
70%
pos in 52w lo→hi
RVOL
1.52
First trade
2021-06-01
Price History VALIDATED
50d MA (orange) · 200d MA (purple) · Price (blue)
Valuation vs Own History COMMODITY — slow-moving; 60d lag; EV/EBITDA canonical
Research notes (read before interpreting):
  • The news-vs-expectations thesis is UNTESTED by the backtest (look-ahead-impossible). Only Agent 6 live forward-tracking can validate whether news_adj improves outcomes. Treat news as a bounded refinement on trial, not a proven driver.
  • Fundamentals are annual with a 60-day reporting lag; EV/EBITDA is the valuation metric (P/E broke on 45 loss-year rows). Valuation reads are slow-moving, not point-in-time precise.
Percentile within this ticker's own 6-year fundamental history. High = expensive vs itself.
EV/EBITDA 23.6x
0%ile
P/E 55.6x
0%ile
P/S 8.1x
0%ile
FYEV/EBITDAP/EP/SRevenueEPS
2025 23.57x 55.56x 8.10x $9.3B $13.79
2024 30.77x 110.41x 10.29x $8.7B $8.54
2023 26.92x 77.82x 9.21x $8.2B $10.35
2022 25.51x 85.18x 8.26x $7.3B $7.69
2021 34.36x 151.86x 11.44x $6.6B $5.57
Earnings Surprise Track Record COMMODITY
Canonical signal: avoid-misses is the durable edge (misses lag the basket ~4%/21d excess); beats merely match the sector once drift is stripped. Regime-dependent, effectively small-sample — not proven.
DateEPS actEPS estEPS surp% Rev surp%Excess/21d
2026-04-29 $4.22 $4.30 -1.9% -2.8% -21.4%
2026-02-11 $2.70 $3.71 -27.2% -1.6% +0.5%
2025-10-29 $9.83 $9.26 +6.2% -5.8% -5.4%
2025-07-30 $9.91 $9.19 +7.8% -0.1% +1.5%
2025-04-30 $9.67 $8.96 +7.9% -1.5% -17.8%
2025-02-12 $7.92 $2.75 +188.0% -0.6% +7.2%
2024-10-30 $9.05 $8.70 +4.0% -3.7% -4.0%
2024-08-07 $9.22 $8.82 +4.5% -0.0% +3.4%
2024-05-08 $8.86 $8.58 +3.3% -0.6% -10.5%
2024-02-14 $7.30 $7.25 +0.7% -0.2% -14.8%
2023-10-25 $8.19 $7.79 +5.1% +0.2% -6.4%
2023-08-02 $8.04 $7.51 +7.1% -0.0% -0.7%
2023-05-03 $8.59 $7.92 +8.5% +0.9% -17.3%
2023-02-15 $7.09 $6.82 +4.0% +0.3% -2.5%
2022-11-02 $7.73 $7.19 +7.5% +0.2% +4.3%
2022-07-27 $7.58 $7.30 +3.8% -0.0% -4.2%
2022-04-27 $7.16 $7.19 -0.4% -0.7% -8.7%
2022-02-16 $6.22 $6.27 -0.8% +0.6% +5.4%
2021-11-03 $6.94 $6.69 +3.7% -0.3% -2.3%
2021-07-28 $7.01 $6.72 +4.3% -1.3% +2.9%
Post-Earnings Revisions COMMODITY — how consensus moved after each print
PrintEPS rev%Rev rev%PT rev%DirGuidance
2026-07-29 — — — — raised
Consensus EPS Revision Trajectory COMMODITY
Forward-year consensus EPS over time — shows how estimates move after each print. Data accrues forward from snapshot start date.
Model Portfolio Status HELD
Weight
12.5%
Entry
$1,042.62
2026-08-10
Stop
$938.36
P&L
-3.3%
Opened score
0.828
Score decomposition (2026-08-10)
Mech 0.678 VALIDATED News adj +0.150 UNPROVEN LIVE Surprise adj +0.000 COMMODITY
▲ Bull case
Bullish news, val=1.0, trend 0.871 (range_pos 0.79, only 1 heavy-down day). Data-center REIT diversifies away from silicon.
▼ Bear case
Mech 0.678 — not top-tier; boosted mainly by news+val. Rate-sensitive if 10y rises. Substituted for #8 ARM which triggered stretched-momo (ret_6m +124%) + silicon concentration flags.
News Lean UNPROVEN LIVE — UNPROVEN LIVE-ONLY: no historical validation possible
▲ bullish long 2026-08-12
Company’s own description of largest-ever guidance raise confirms colocation demand from AI workloads is accelerating not tapering; DLR also raised outlook simultaneously.
source ↗
▲ bullish long 2026-08-07
RBC PT raise implies 20%+ upside; AI hyperscaler colocation demand exceeding supply builds; EQIX up 42% YTD but analyst consensus still sees further upside as interconnection revenue accelerates with AI workload density
source ↗
▲ bullish long 2026-08-05
Revenue beat + guidance raise signals AI colocation demand accelerating; YTD +42% outperforms DLR (+28%) reflecting market preference for Equinix's interconnect model; incremental positive, no expectation divergence.
source ↗
● neutral long 2026-07-30
Beat on Q2 AFFO by 3.8% and raised FY guide, but Q3 guidance came in below expectations — classic set-up where headline beat gets offset by forward quarter disappointment; long-term AI demand backdrop remains intact with record bookings and $5-7B annual capex plan
source ↗
▲ bullish long 2026-07-23
Cisco-NVDA AI Factory co-launch demonstrates Equinix moving up the value stack beyond raw colocation; analysts expect 13.5% AFFO growth — if AI bookings confirm the platform thesis, this is a structural beat catalyst.
source ↗
Analyst Context — the consensus we're trying to beat
Consensus PT
$1,246.25
+23.6% from current
Median PT
$1,237.50
High PT
$1,400.00
Low PT
$1,135.00
Current
$1,008.08
Price targets from FMP consensus. Not a recommendation.