Valuation vs Own History COMMODITY
— slow-moving; 60d lag; EV/EBITDA canonical
Research notes (read before interpreting):- The news-vs-expectations thesis is UNTESTED by the backtest (look-ahead-impossible). Only Agent 6 live forward-tracking can validate whether news_adj improves outcomes. Treat news as a bounded refinement on trial, not a proven driver.
- Fundamentals are annual with a 60-day reporting lag; EV/EBITDA is the valuation metric (P/E broke on 45 loss-year rows). Valuation reads are slow-moving, not point-in-time precise.
Percentile within this ticker's own 6-year fundamental history. High = expensive vs itself.
| FY | EV/EBITDA | P/E | P/S | Revenue | EPS |
|---|
| 2025 |
22.56x |
30.36x |
4.50x |
$27.4B |
$10.49 |
| 2024 |
25.08x |
34.79x |
5.30x |
$24.9B |
$9.54 |
| 2023 |
21.25x |
29.88x |
4.14x |
$23.2B |
$8.06 |
| 2022 |
18.06x |
25.40x |
3.02x |
$20.8B |
$6.18 |
| 2021 |
19.57x |
32.12x |
3.51x |
$19.6B |
$5.38 |
Earnings Surprise Track Record COMMODITY
Canonical signal: avoid-misses is the durable edge (misses lag the basket ~4%/21d excess); beats merely match the sector once drift is stripped. Regime-dependent, effectively small-sample — not proven.
| Date | EPS act | EPS est | EPS surp% |
Rev surp% | Excess/21d |
| 2026-05-05 |
$2.81 |
$2.73 |
+2.9% |
+4.3% |
n/a |
| 2026-02-03 |
$3.33 |
$3.31 |
+0.6% |
-0.5% |
-7.0% |
| 2025-11-04 |
$3.07 |
$3.05 |
+0.7% |
-1.2% |
-9.7% |
| 2025-08-05 |
$2.95 |
$2.93 |
+0.7% |
+1.7% |
-5.2% |
| 2025-05-02 |
$2.72 |
$2.71 |
+0.4% |
+2.0% |
-13.8% |
| 2025-01-31 |
$2.83 |
$2.82 |
+0.4% |
-1.3% |
+0.1% |
| 2024-10-31 |
$2.84 |
$2.80 |
+1.4% |
-0.4% |
-0.2% |
| 2024-08-01 |
$2.73 |
$2.61 |
+4.6% |
+0.0% |
-1.0% |
| 2024-04-30 |
$2.40 |
$2.29 |
+4.8% |
+0.6% |
-5.9% |
| 2024-02-01 |
$2.55 |
$2.47 |
+3.2% |
+0.9% |
-9.2% |
| 2023-10-31 |
$2.47 |
$2.34 |
+5.6% |
-0.5% |
-4.7% |
| 2023-08-01 |
$2.21 |
$2.11 |
+4.7% |
+1.8% |
+3.6% |
| 2023-05-02 |
$1.88 |
$1.78 |
+5.6% |
-4.6% |
-12.9% |
| 2023-02-08 |
$2.06 |
$2.05 |
+0.5% |
+2.9% |
+7.7% |
| 2022-11-01 |
$2.02 |
$2.01 |
+0.5% |
+0.0% |
-5.4% |
| 2022-08-02 |
$1.87 |
$1.82 |
+2.7% |
+0.2% |
+2.5% |
| 2022-05-03 |
$1.62 |
$1.60 |
+1.3% |
+1.3% |
-2.7% |
| 2022-02-04 |
$1.72 |
$1.71 |
+0.6% |
-2.1% |
+3.7% |
| 2021-11-02 |
$1.75 |
$1.73 |
+1.2% |
-4.6% |
-4.5% |
| 2021-08-03 |
$1.72 |
$1.55 |
+11.0% |
+4.6% |
+3.1% |
Post-Earnings Revisions COMMODITY
— how consensus moved after each print
No computed revisions yet — snapshots need to bracket a print.
Consensus EPS Revision Trajectory COMMODITY
Forward-year consensus EPS over time — shows how estimates move after each print. Data accrues forward from snapshot start date.
News Lean UNPROVEN LIVE
— UNPROVEN LIVE-ONLY: no historical validation possible
▲ bullish
near
2026-07-23
+4.4% EPS consensus bar looks conservative given data center electrification demand acceleration; 4-quarter consecutive beat streak suggests analysts consistently under-model Eaton's power mgmt cycle exposure.
source ↗
● neutral
near
2026-07-20
Eaton's 10% annual EPS growth is reliable but pedestrian vs sector peers like GEV (+70% YoY); unusual options activity suggests market may be mispricing AI power demand acceleration not yet showing in EPS consensus.
source ↗
▲ bullish
long
2026-07-14
Backlog visibility to 2028 signals demand is outstripping prior analyst revenue models; electrical equipment companies seeing demand pulled forward by AI build-out — consensus has been systematically underestimating.
source ↗
▲ bullish
long
2026-06-24
Record Q1 beat across segments (Electrical Americas, Aerospace); full-year guidance raise signals management confidence above prior estimates; mobility divestiture via Dana merger sharpens focus on highest-growth electrical and aerospace markets.
source ↗
▲ bullish
long
2026-06-05
Q1 beat + Boyd Thermal liquid cooling acquisition + raised full-year guide all ahead of Street — grid-to-chip positioning increasingly valued
source ↗
Analyst Context — the consensus we're trying to beat
Consensus PT
$469.00
+21.4% from current
Price targets from FMP consensus. Not a recommendation.
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