HPE — Hewlett Packard Enterprise

Price History VALIDATED

50d MA (orange) · 200d MA (purple) · Price (blue)

Valuation vs Own History COMMODITY — slow-moving; 60d lag; EV/EBITDA canonical

Research notes (read before interpreting):

The news-vs-expectations thesis is UNTESTED by the backtest (look-ahead-impossible). Only Agent 6 live forward-tracking can validate whether news_adj improves outcomes. Treat news as a bounded refinement on trial, not a proven driver.
Fundamentals are annual with a 60-day reporting lag; EV/EBITDA is the valuation metric (P/E broke on 45 loss-year rows). Valuation reads are slow-moving, not point-in-time precise.

Percentile within this ticker's own 6-year fundamental history. High = expensive vs itself.

EV/EBITDA 19.3x

100%ile

P/S 0.9x

100%ile

FY	EV/EBITDA	P/E	P/S	Revenue	EPS
2025	19.28x	neg	0.94x	$34.3B	$-0.04
2024	5.48x	9.99x	0.85x	$30.1B	$1.95
2023	6.03x	9.86x	0.69x	$29.1B	$1.56
2022	6.34x	21.30x	0.66x	$28.1B	$0.67
2021	4.77x	5.71x	0.70x	$27.9B	$2.62

Earnings Surprise Track Record COMMODITY

Canonical signal: avoid-misses is the durable edge (misses lag the basket ~4%/21d excess); beats merely match the sector once drift is stripped. Regime-dependent, effectively small-sample — not proven.

Date	EPS act	EPS est	EPS surp%	Rev surp%	Excess/21d
2026-06-01	$0.79	$0.54	+46.3%	+9.2%	n/a
2026-03-09	$0.65	$0.59	+10.7%	-0.5%	+7.9%
2025-12-04	$0.62	$0.58	+7.1%	-2.1%	-4.8%
2025-09-03	$0.44	$0.42	+5.5%	+3.3%	-15.0%
2025-06-03	$0.38	$0.35	+9.7%	+1.9%	+7.4%
2025-03-06	$0.49	$0.50	-1.4%	+0.5%	+1.2%
2024-12-05	$0.58	$0.55	+5.5%	+2.5%	-5.9%
2024-09-04	$0.50	$0.47	+6.4%	+0.5%	-1.5%
2024-06-04	$0.42	$0.39	+7.7%	+5.2%	-1.8%
2024-02-29	$0.48	$0.45	+5.5%	-3.9%	+9.5%
2023-11-28	$0.52	$0.50	+4.0%	+1.0%	-5.1%
2023-08-29	$0.49	$0.46	+6.5%	+0.2%	+3.7%
2023-05-30	$0.52	$0.47	+10.6%	-4.6%	+8.7%
2023-03-02	$0.63	$0.52	+21.2%	+4.9%	+3.5%
2022-11-29	$0.57	$0.57	+0.0%	+6.8%	+3.4%
2022-08-30	$0.48	$0.48	+0.0%	+0.3%	+2.3%
2022-06-01	$0.44	$0.45	-2.2%	-1.3%	+1.8%
2022-03-01	$0.53	$0.46	+15.2%	-0.8%	-3.0%
2021-11-30	$0.52	$0.49	+6.1%	+4.5%	+4.5%
2021-09-02	$0.47	$0.42	+11.9%	+19.7%	+3.6%

Post-Earnings Revisions COMMODITY — how consensus moved after each print

Print	EPS rev%	Rev rev%	PT rev%	Dir	Guidance
2026-06-01	—	—	—	—	raised

Consensus EPS Revision Trajectory COMMODITY

Forward-year consensus EPS over time — shows how estimates move after each print. Data accrues forward from snapshot start date.

Model Portfolio Status

Not in model portfolio.

News Lean UNPROVEN LIVE — UNPROVEN LIVE-ONLY: no historical validation possible

No news recorded yet.

Analyst Context — the consensus we're trying to beat

Consensus PT

$69.27

+51.9% from current

Median PT

$69.00

High PT

$80.00

Low PT

$62.00

Current

$45.59

Price targets from FMP consensus. Not a recommendation.

⚠ Deterioration Alerts

Date	Type	Severity	Detail
2026-07-28	price_drop	high	Condition 1: -5.40% single-day drop
2026-07-16	deterioration	medium	condition: sharp drop -4.78%
2026-07-15	price_drop	medium	Large drop: -4.36% (condition a: change_pct ≤ -4%)
2026-06-03	deterioration	medium	High relative volume (rvol=2.32) with -1.73% decline

Hewlett Packard Enterprise HPE