SNDK — Sandisk Corporation

Price History VALIDATED

50d MA (orange) · 200d MA (purple) · Price (blue)

Valuation vs Own History COMMODITY — slow-moving; 60d lag; EV/EBITDA canonical

Research notes (read before interpreting):

The news-vs-expectations thesis is UNTESTED by the backtest (look-ahead-impossible). Only Agent 6 live forward-tracking can validate whether news_adj improves outcomes. Treat news as a bounded refinement on trial, not a proven driver.
Fundamentals are annual with a 60-day reporting lag; EV/EBITDA is the valuation metric (P/E broke on 45 loss-year rows). Valuation reads are slow-moving, not point-in-time precise.

Percentile within this ticker's own 6-year fundamental history. High = expensive vs itself.

EV/EBITDA 19.3x

100%ile

P/E 22.4x

100%ile

P/S 12.7x

100%ile

FY	EV/EBITDA	P/E	P/S	Revenue	EPS
2026	19.26x	22.44x	12.67x	$20.2B	$77.78
2025	-5.90x	neg	0.93x	$7.4B	$-11.32
2024	-24.44x	neg	0.78x	$6.7B	$-4.67
2023	-3.88x	neg	0.85x	$6.1B	$-14.88
2022	3.33x	4.87x	0.53x	$9.8B	$7.39

Earnings Surprise Track Record COMMODITY

Canonical signal: avoid-misses is the durable edge (misses lag the basket ~4%/21d excess); beats merely match the sector once drift is stripped. Regime-dependent, effectively small-sample — not proven.

Date	EPS act	EPS est	EPS surp%	Rev surp%	Excess/21d
2026-04-30	$23.41	$14.62	+60.1%	+26.1%	n/a
2026-01-29	$6.20	$3.62	+71.3%	+12.6%	n/a
2025-11-06	$1.22	$0.88	+38.2%	+7.2%	n/a
2025-08-14	$0.29	$0.05	+522.2%	+4.2%	n/a
2025-05-07	$-0.30	$-0.39	+23.1%	+4.5%	n/a
2025-03-07	$1.23	$1.22	+0.8%	+0.0%	n/a
2024-06-30	$0.83	—	—	—	n/a
2024-03-31	$0.19	—	—	—	n/a
2023-12-31	$-1.43	—	—	—	n/a
2023-12-28	$-2.09	—	—	—	n/a
2023-09-29	$-3.60	—	—	—	n/a

Post-Earnings Revisions COMMODITY — how consensus moved after each print

Print	EPS rev%	Rev rev%	PT rev%	Dir	Guidance
2026-08-05	—	—	—	—	raised

Consensus EPS Revision Trajectory COMMODITY

Forward-year consensus EPS over time — shows how estimates move after each print. Data accrues forward from snapshot start date.

Model Portfolio Status

Not in model portfolio.

News Lean UNPROVEN LIVE — UNPROVEN LIVE-ONLY: no historical validation possible

No news recorded yet.

Analyst Context — the consensus we're trying to beat

Consensus PT

$2,152.81

+21.1% from current

Median PT

$2,037.50

High PT

$3,050.00

Low PT

$1,200.00

Current

$1,777.80

Price targets from FMP consensus. Not a recommendation.

⚠ Deterioration Alerts

Date	Type	Severity	Detail
2026-08-06	deterioration	medium	Memory layer: -6.81% single-day drop (a)
2026-08-05	deterioration	medium	Condition: (a) -5.40% drop
2026-07-31	price_drop	medium	down -5.09% (exceeds -4% threshold)
2026-07-29	deterioration	medium	Condition (a): change_pct=-7.32%
2026-07-28	price_drop	high	Conditions 1 & 2: -14.25% drop + rvol 1.92 (volatility surge)

Sandisk Corporation SNDK