Stock Demon Overview Strategy Portfolio Earnings Digest Health Architecture Private cockpit · Not investment advice
memory

Sandisk Corporation SNDK

Price
$1,096.10
-14.2% today
Mkt Cap
$162.3B
Beta
4.74
52w Range
46%
pos in 52w lo→hi
RVOL
1.92
First trade
2025-02-13
Price History VALIDATED
50d MA (orange) · 200d MA (purple) · Price (blue)
Valuation vs Own History COMMODITY — slow-moving; 60d lag; EV/EBITDA canonical
Research notes (read before interpreting):
  • The news-vs-expectations thesis is UNTESTED by the backtest (look-ahead-impossible). Only Agent 6 live forward-tracking can validate whether news_adj improves outcomes. Treat news as a bounded refinement on trial, not a proven driver.
  • Fundamentals are annual with a 60-day reporting lag; EV/EBITDA is the valuation metric (P/E broke on 45 loss-year rows). Valuation reads are slow-moving, not point-in-time precise.
Percentile within this ticker's own 5-year fundamental history. High = expensive vs itself.
EV/EBITDA -5.9x
50%ile
P/S 0.9x
100%ile
FYEV/EBITDAP/EP/SRevenueEPS
2025 -5.90x neg 0.93x $7.4B $-11.32
2024 -24.44x neg 0.78x $6.7B $-4.67
2023 -3.88x neg 0.85x $6.1B $-14.88
2022 3.33x 4.87x 0.53x $9.8B $7.39
2021 0.00x neg 0.00x — —
Earnings Surprise Track Record COMMODITY
Canonical signal: avoid-misses is the durable edge (misses lag the basket ~4%/21d excess); beats merely match the sector once drift is stripped. Regime-dependent, effectively small-sample — not proven.
DateEPS actEPS estEPS surp% Rev surp%Excess/21d
2026-04-30 $23.41 $14.62 +60.1% +26.1% n/a
2026-01-29 $6.20 $3.62 +71.3% +12.6% n/a
2025-11-06 $1.22 $0.88 +38.2% +7.2% n/a
2025-08-14 $0.29 $0.05 +522.2% +4.2% n/a
2025-05-07 $-0.30 $-0.39 +23.1% +4.5% n/a
2025-03-07 $1.23 $1.22 +0.8% +0.0% n/a
2024-06-30 $0.83 — — — n/a
2024-03-31 $0.19 — — — n/a
2023-12-31 $-1.43 — — — n/a
2023-12-28 $-2.09 — — — n/a
2023-09-29 $-3.60 — — — n/a
Post-Earnings Revisions COMMODITY — how consensus moved after each print
No computed revisions yet — snapshots need to bracket a print.
Consensus EPS Revision Trajectory COMMODITY
Forward-year consensus EPS over time — shows how estimates move after each print. Data accrues forward from snapshot start date.
Model Portfolio Status
Not in model portfolio.
News Lean UNPROVEN LIVE — UNPROVEN LIVE-ONLY: no historical validation possible
No news recorded yet.
Analyst Context — the consensus we're trying to beat
Consensus PT
$1,992.67
+81.8% from current
Median PT
$1,750.00
High PT
$3,100.00
Low PT
$650.00
Current
$1,096.10
Price targets from FMP consensus. Not a recommendation.
⚠ Deterioration Alerts
DateTypeSeverityDetail
2026-07-28 price_drop high Conditions 1 & 2: -14.25% drop + rvol 1.92 (volatility surge)
2026-07-27 deterioration high [drop -11.02%] Conditions: (a) large intraday move, (d) 8%+ 2-day drop
2026-07-24 deterioration high Conditions: (a) -10.79% single-day drop; (d) -10.79% vs prev snapshot
2026-07-17 deterioration medium Condition (a): -4.02% drop
2026-07-15 price_drop medium Very large drop: -8.12% (condition a: change_pct ≤ -4%)