Stock Demon Overview Strategy Portfolio Earnings Digest Health Architecture Private cockpit · Not investment advice
power

Vertiv Holdings VRT

Price
$253.28
+3.3% today
Mkt Cap
$97.5B
Beta
2.08
52w Range
48%
pos in 52w lo→hi
RVOL
0.69
First trade
2021-06-01
Price History VALIDATED
50d MA (orange) · 200d MA (purple) · Price (blue)
Valuation vs Own History COMMODITY — slow-moving; 60d lag; EV/EBITDA canonical
Research notes (read before interpreting):
  • The news-vs-expectations thesis is UNTESTED by the backtest (look-ahead-impossible). Only Agent 6 live forward-tracking can validate whether news_adj improves outcomes. Treat news as a bounded refinement on trial, not a proven driver.
  • Fundamentals are annual with a 60-day reporting lag; EV/EBITDA is the valuation metric (P/E broke on 45 loss-year rows). Valuation reads are slow-moving, not point-in-time precise.
Percentile within this ticker's own 6-year fundamental history. High = expensive vs itself.
EV/EBITDA 29.7x
26%ile
P/E 46.4x
15%ile
P/S 6.0x
100%ile
FYEV/EBITDAP/EP/SRevenueEPS
2025 29.73x 46.42x 6.05x $10.2B $3.49
2024 37.60x 86.07x 5.34x $8.0B $1.32
2023 20.12x 39.69x 2.66x $6.9B $1.21
2022 13.36x neg 0.90x $5.7B $-0.04
2021 23.89x 73.44x 1.78x $5.0B $0.34
Earnings Surprise Track Record COMMODITY
Canonical signal: avoid-misses is the durable edge (misses lag the basket ~4%/21d excess); beats merely match the sector once drift is stripped. Regime-dependent, effectively small-sample — not proven.
DateEPS actEPS estEPS surp% Rev surp%Excess/21d
2026-04-22 $1.17 $1.00 +17.0% +0.4% -13.5%
2026-02-11 $1.36 $1.29 +5.4% +0.1% +9.7%
2025-10-22 $1.24 $0.98 +26.0% +3.8% -3.4%
2025-07-30 $0.95 $0.83 +14.2% +12.1% -11.0%
2025-04-23 $0.64 $0.61 +4.1% +5.1% +1.4%
2025-02-12 $0.99 $0.82 +20.7% +8.9% -4.2%
2024-10-23 $0.76 $0.69 +10.3% +4.8% +20.5%
2024-07-24 $0.67 $0.57 +17.1% +0.4% -1.2%
2024-04-24 $0.43 $0.36 +19.9% +1.0% +4.3%
2024-02-21 $0.56 $0.53 +5.7% -0.6% +20.4%
2023-10-25 $0.52 $0.44 +18.2% -0.4% +4.9%
2023-08-02 $0.46 $0.29 +58.6% +7.3% +12.5%
2023-04-26 $0.24 $0.17 +41.2% -5.3% +16.4%
2023-02-22 $0.28 $0.30 -6.7% -1.3% -20.4%
2022-10-26 $0.23 $0.21 +9.5% +0.4% -20.2%
2022-08-03 $0.10 $0.10 +0.0% +5.6% -4.0%
2022-04-27 $-0.08 $-0.16 +50.0% +1.3% -10.8%
2022-02-23 $0.04 $0.28 -85.7% -0.9% -0.1%
2021-10-27 $0.20 $0.19 +5.3% -1.5% -7.6%
2021-07-28 $0.31 $0.24 +29.2% -1.8% -1.4%
Post-Earnings Revisions COMMODITY — how consensus moved after each print
PrintEPS rev%Rev rev%PT rev%DirGuidance
2026-07-29 — — — — raised
Consensus EPS Revision Trajectory COMMODITY
Forward-year consensus EPS over time — shows how estimates move after each print. Data accrues forward from snapshot start date.
Model Portfolio Status
Not in model portfolio.
News Lean UNPROVEN LIVE — UNPROVEN LIVE-ONLY: no historical validation possible
▲ bullish near 2026-08-10
Two separate Buy upgrades within days of -17% selloff; adj EPS +60% YoY and raised FY guide were the actual results—revenue miss vs $3.38B est masked strong margin expansion; buy-the-dip setup
source ↗
▲ bullish long 2026-08-07
Beat-and-raise with 30-32% organic growth guide yet stock fell July 29 — classic retail trap where buy-side bar exceeded printed numbers; Mizuho and Bernstein both reiterate Buy Aug 4-5 on AI liquid cooling structural tailwind
source ↗
▼ bearish near 2026-08-05
Revenue miss of $110M vs estimate reset AI-infra expectations for VRT; stock priced for an upside surprise given AI hype — miss punished with -14%; Q3 guidance midpoint $3.75B marginally above $3.71B consensus was not enough to offset.
source ↗
▲ bullish long 2026-07-30
Revenue miss is likely to panic retail sellers but EPS beat + FY guidance raised well above ($6.65-6.75 vs $6.48 consensus) with $15B backlog signals execution is on track — the revenue slip is timing, not demand; structural long despite near-term volatility
source ↗
● neutral near 2026-07-21
Strong operational execution but stock trading at fair value per 29-analyst consensus near-term — further upside needs guide raise or evidence demand outlook is accelerating beyond current 52x forward P/E
source ↗
Analyst Context — the consensus we're trying to beat
Consensus PT
$367.06
+44.9% from current
Median PT
$360.00
High PT
$500.00
Low PT
$320.00
Current
$253.28
Price targets from FMP consensus. Not a recommendation.
⚠ Deterioration Alerts
DateTypeSeverityDetail
2026-07-29 deterioration high Condition (a): change_pct=-17.26%, Condition (b): rvol=3.58
2026-07-28 price_drop high Condition 1: -6.27% single-day drop
2026-07-24 deterioration medium Condition: (a) -4.50% single-day drop
2026-07-14 deterioration medium day -4.1%; big-drop <=-4%
2026-06-23 deterioration high Conditions: (a) -11.07% drop, (d) -11.07% vs prev snapshot